Specialize In Trading US Dollar (Part II)
Posted by Ahmad Hassam at Jun 29th, 2009 in Gambling
Suppose you have the data and calculated the currency correlations of the major pairs. The correlation between GBP/USD and EUR/USD is 0.68. This correlation coefficient means both the pairs move in the same direction 68% of the time.
USD/CHF and EUR/USD have a correlation coefficient of -0.975. This is pretty close to (-1). It means both these pairs move in the opposite direction almost all the time. To be precise 97.5% of the time if USD/CHF moves up, the pair EUR/USD will move down!
You have this information that tells you how much these pairs move in the same or opposite directions. You trade the pairs USD/CHF and EUR/USD at the same time by going long on both. You are in fact canceling both the positions.
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